The Institute Employment Report, August 2026, from the Bank of America Institute shows that the labor market is cooling a little, although it remains relatively healthy overall.
Payroll growth was 1.5% in August, down from 1.8% in July. At the same time, lower-income households saw after-tax wage growth of 4.7%. This is important because we need lower-income wages to rise substantially.
There are ways to improve this, but it would require a broader discussion about how jobs are created, in-house training, education, and changes to policies and rules that could help maximize employment. We could go down a rabbit hole discussing how to help people enter the labor force and move progressively upward, but that would require a much larger conversation. It's a human capital discussion...one we sort of haven't solved yet.
Another interesting finding is that the previous K-shaped pattern in wage growth has reversed. Job switching has also increased, and workers who change jobs are apparently receiving larger pay increases. The pay increase associated with a job change reached 12.5% in July.
Overall, this is a pretty good report. There are some risks and signs of cooling, but the labor market remains relatively healthy, and the improvement in wage growth among lower-income workers is encouraging.
U.S. Labor Market Momentum Cools in August, While Lower-Income Wage Growth Improves
- Payroll growth slowed to 1.5% year-over-year in August, down from 1.8% in July.
- The labor market remained relatively healthy, despite slower growth.
- Unemployment payments showed little year-over-year change.
- Lower-income households saw after-tax wage growth of 4.7%.
- Higher-income households saw after-tax wage growth of 3.5%.
- This reversed the previous “K-shaped” wage-growth pattern.
- Job switching increased in July, especially among weekly-paid workers.
- Weekly-paid workers, often hourly employees, saw the largest increase in job changes.
- The average pay increase associated with changing jobs reached 12.5%, the highest level in more than three years.
- Rising job mobility and larger pay increases for lower-income workers may be helping narrow wage-growth differences.
- The report cautions that Bank of America’s data is based on selected, aggregated customer information and has limitations.
Bank of America Institute. (2026, September 3). The Institute employment report: August 2026. Bank of America. https://institute.bankofamerica.com/economic-insights/monthly-employment-report-august-2026.html
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