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Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Fishing Adventure #4: Yellow Perch Confusion Tactics

The other evening I went out for a swim hoping while we still have these beautiful summer evenings. I checked out a new fishing spot, but the water was pretty rough on one side, so I stayed on the calmer side instead. I quickly discovered my artificial bait had disappeared somewhere along the way, which probably explains why the fish weren't exactly lining up to bite.

With fishing temporarily off the table, I just enjoyed the swim and watched a big school of yellow perch doing endless circles (Yep I got to do something out there.). I later learned they do that to find food and confuse predators. Apparently, they decided I was the predator—although with no bait, I wasn't much of a threat.

That gave me a crazy idea that if you can find a large school of fish on a fish finder then you can plop yourselve into the middle of it while they swim around you. Maybe it would work. 🤷 Like shark. 

I also left my keys and cellphone on the beach while I was in the water. A woman walking her dog stopped to check it out, and from a distance I was thinking, "Please don't inspect my car keys!" She was just curious and moved on, but it convinced me that a waterproof dry bag is probably a better investment than another lure the fish won't let me keep.

Summer doesn't last forever, so I'm making the most of these evening swims while I still can.

You may want to enjoy my perch school video.

ADP National Employment Report 44K and Trends July 2026

 The ADP private-sector employment report was interesting because it showed that employers added just 44,000 jobs, well below expectations. While this represents a slowdown in hiring, it's important to look beyond a single month's data and focus on the broader trend. Overall, the labor market, according to the year chart below) has remained relatively stable, even as hiring has cooled.

What makes this report more noteworthy is that it aligns with several other economic indicators pointing toward a moderation in economic activity. As more reports begin to tell a similar story, the possibility of a slower economy becomes more credible. That said, one report alone does not establish a trend, and economic forecasts are never guaranteed.

For now, the best approach is to continue monitoring incoming data rather than drawing firm conclusions. Markets and the economy have surprised analysts many times before, so while the recent evidence suggests some slowing, we'll have to wait and see whether this develops into a more sustained trend.

(Notice the smaller companies seem to be adding the most jobs so when we think of the value of start-ups and small businesses in towns like Escanaba we may find that the value of the downtown could be high and produce new jobs over a period of time.)

July 2026 ADP Report

ADP National Employment Report Latest Release Results

  • Private employers added 44,000 jobs according to the national employment data results.

  • Sector-level hiring remained choppy, while year-over-year pay growth for job-changers accelerated to its fastest pace in nearly a year.

  • Small establishments with 1-19 employees led growth by adding 27,000 jobs, followed by large establishments with 500+ employees adding 13,000 jobs.

  • Education and health services led industry gains by adding 36,000 jobs, while leisure and hospitality added 11,000 jobs and financial activities added 10,000 jobs.

  • The report highlights labor market supply constraints and shifting employer reactions to ongoing macroeconomic conditions.

APA Reference:

ADP Research Institute. (2026). ADP National Employment Report. Retrieved August 6, 2026, from https://adpemploymentreport.com/

ADP


Month (Report)Private Jobs Added
January22,000 
February84,000 
March62,000 
April109,000 
May122,000 
June98,000 
July44,000 (


A Few Acrylic Painting Pieces You Might Enjoy

Below you'll find a gallery of some of my paintings. Art is one of my hobbies, and I enjoy creating pieces inspired by the places, people, and moments that catch my attention. I hope you enjoy looking through them as much as I enjoyed painting them.

I've also been exploring ways to support this website without making it feel cluttered or overly commercial. One approach is simply offering some of my artwork and a few other items for sale. Still thinking about it. If you decide to purchase a piece, you're not only supporting my creative hobby but also helping me continue producing new work.

One of the things I enjoy most about selling my artwork is being able to give back. After covering the cost of art supplies and materials, I donate a portion of the proceeds to charitable causes. One organization that is especially meaningful to me is an orphanage I have personally visited. Seeing the children there left a lasting impression, and I hope to return again in the future. While I can't donate every dollar from each sale, I am committed to sharing a portion of the proceeds to help provide things like school supplies, food, and other necessities for children and other worthwhile charitable efforts (You can donate directly to Donate Orphan Page).

Thank you for taking the time to visit my gallery. Whether you're simply browsing or choose to purchase a piece, I truly appreciate your support. Every painting allows me to continue creating, enjoy a hobby I love, and hopefully make a small positive difference in someone else's life.

https://www.ebay.com/usr/uprower

You can obtain a $5 discount by buying via Pay Pal

https://www.paypal.com/ncp/payment/EBTBZJ2A8P4UN




Tuesday, August 4, 2026

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services June 2026-Slower and more Narrow

 The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for June 2026 is an interesting release because it generally aligns with several other recent economic reports. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed during the month, which is typically viewed as a positive development. Year to date, the goods and services trade deficit has fallen $189.3 billion, a 33.8% decrease compared with the same period in 2025. Overall, this suggests that the nation's trade balance has been moving in a healthier direction.

At the same time, both exports and imports declined during June. While a smaller trade deficit is encouraging, slowing trade activity can also signal a cooling economy. That possibility appears to be consistent with a few other recent economic indicators, although it is too early to draw firm conclusions. Economic conditions can change quickly, and ongoing discussions about global supply chains, tariffs, and trade policy could also influence these trends in the coming months.

One area where the report could be even more informative is by providing a clearer breakdown of trade changes by country. A chart showing which nations experienced the largest increases or decreases in U.S. exports and imports would offer valuable insight into how global trade relationships are evolving and where opportunities or challenges may be emerging. Gaining an understanding of country, product/info movement, human capital change, etc. could lead to insight into contributing factors.

By country information can be found U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services – June 2026

  • The U.S. trade deficit narrowed to $73.3 billion in June 2026, improving from a revised $77.6 billion in May as imports declined more than exports.
  • Exports totaled $314.7 billion, a decrease of $2.9 billion from May, while imports fell by a larger $7.3 billion to $388.0 billion.
  • The goods trade deficit decreased by $3.9 billion to $102.1 billion, reflecting a stronger balance in merchandise trade during the month.
  • The services trade surplus increased by $0.5 billion to $28.8 billion. June also marked record highs for both U.S. services exports ($107.8 billion) and services imports ($79.0 billion).
  • Despite the monthly improvement, the report highlights continued shifts in global trade patterns, with record trade deficits reported with countries including Mexico, Vietnam, and South Korea, while the next international trade report is scheduled for September 3, 2026.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. (2026, August 4). U.S. international trade in goods and services, June 2026. U.S. Department of Commerce. https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-june-2026 

Life Crafting and Doing What You Value in this Life

 Do what you want with this life. It is a journey from one point to another. We are born, we eventually die, and everything in between is the experience of living. Yes, there will be challenges, setbacks, and moments of heartache, but there is also a lot of amazing and interesting things along the way. Wonderful things that show you why life is valuable. The key is learning how to navigate those experiences without turning small problems into major obstacles. Many things we worry about—minor setbacks, disappointments, or perceived slights—are temporary and much smaller than we make them out to be.

One of the biggest keys to success is having some idea of what you want to accomplish. In business, this means creating clear, achievable goals (i.e. SMART goals). In life, it means having a general direction for your activities and choices. Life is not only about work, money, friends, or recreation. It is a combination of maintaining what matters, making progress, and finding meaning.

For example, I enjoy business, learning, the outdoors, fitness, and exploring new experiences. As life changes, our interests and priorities naturally change as well. However, our personalities often continue to influence the paths we choose. Someone with an explorer’s personality may seek adventure and discovery, while someone else may be drawn toward stability, creativity, or community. There is no single correct way to live.

People often say you have to live a certain way, but beyond meeting your basic needs and contributing to society, how you design your life is ultimately your choice. Personally, I have certifications as a fitness trainer and yoga instructor, and I do those activities because I enjoy them. A little exercise, mindfulness, and meditation can benefit anyone.

If you are interested in fitness, wellness, or learning more about these activities, feel free to send me a message or email. muradabel@gmail.com

Life Crafting as a Way to Find Purpose and Meaning in Life

  1. The article explains how “life crafting” helps people create a clearer sense of purpose and meaning in their lives.
  2. Life crafting involves thinking about personal values, future goals, strengths, and the actions needed to achieve desired outcomes.
  3. The authors explain that setting meaningful goals can improve motivation, well-being, and personal growth.
  4. Creating a plan for the future helps individuals connect everyday decisions with their larger life purpose.
  5. Life crafting can be used as a tool to help people improve both personal and professional development.

Schippers, M. C., & Ziegler, N. (2019). Life crafting as a way to find purpose and meaning in life. Frontiers in Psychology, 10, Article 2778. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2019.02778

ISM Manufacturing PMI Increases to 55.6% Indicating Manufacturing Growth

This manufacturing report is one of the reasons why it is important to read a variety of publications and reports from different organizations. This report shows that manufacturing is expanding, while other recent reports have suggested that the sector may be weakening. The differences highlight the importance of looking at multiple data sources and understanding how each organization measures economic activity.

Overall, this is positive news because new orders are increasing and demand remains strong. As a country, we want to attract companies to invest and manufacture high-quality, advanced products in the United States. Any economic system has inputs and outputs, and the amount of value created and distributed throughout society is an important measure of its success (Over concentration weakens that success).

Over the past few decades, many companies moved production overseas to reduce costs, sometimes saving only a small amount per unit. However, rebuilding domestic manufacturing can create broader economic benefits through higher wages, increased tax revenue, stronger communities, and additional investment.

Hopefully, this trend will continue and lead to more hiring and expansion in manufacturing. However, it is important to remember that economic trends need to continue over time before they represent a lasting change. A single report provides a snapshot, but long-term patterns require consistent results across multiple periods and sources. It is also interesting to see how different reports evaluate the economy and use different metrics to measure performance.

U.S. Manufacturing Growth Strengthens in July 2026

  • The ISM Manufacturing PMI increased to 55.6% in July 2026, showing the strongest manufacturing growth since 2022.
  • New orders and production increased, showing stronger demand for manufactured goods.
  • Manufacturing employment grew for the first time in nearly three years as companies added workers.
  • Businesses continued to face higher costs, supply challenges, and uncertainty in global markets.
  • Most manufacturing industries reported growth, showing broad improvement across the sector.

Institute for Supply Management. (2026, August 3). July 2026 ISM® Manufacturing PMI® report. https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/pmi/july/

Building Resilient Public Institutions and Courts Through Value Alignment-The Allegory of the Clan

 Corruption in the courts reflects a broader issue of corruption within society. The same principles apply to any position of authority. Judges, elected officials, administrators, enforcement officers, and organizational leaders all bring their own experiences, beliefs, and perspectives to the decisions they make. When personal racial, religious, political, or ideological biases influence those decisions instead of fairness and the rule of law, public trust begins to erode.

(Illustrative Only)

Protect the integrity of
institutions and health
of the republic
by voting your concious.

Most people who serve in positions of authority strive to do the right thing. The vast majority try to do what is right and we need more people to join their ranks. The best and brightest should engage. They understand that public institutions exist to serve everyone fairly, regardless of personal differences. However, when individuals place their own interests or loyalties above their public responsibilities, institutions become vulnerable to corruption and abuse.

This is one of the central lessons illustrated by the "Allegory of the Clan," a thought experiment modeled after Plato's Allegory of the Cave. In the allegory, a small group of extremist actors is able to influence public institutions because oversight is weak and misconduct goes largely unchallenged. Years of complaints are ignored, public resources are misused, favoritism becomes common, and individuals are targeted because of their race, religion, political beliefs, or other protected characteristics. Whistleblowers and witnesses face retaliation, while those responsible often escape meaningful accountability. The pattern is repeated many times. No change and no accountability in a willful act of violating constitutions, freedoms, and good governance.

The allegory highlights an important institutional challenge: when checks and balances fail, corruption can continue even after it becomes widely known. Over time, the public loses confidence because harmful actions are acknowledged but not fully corrected. The trends don't concern them and no meaningful reforms have occured. Reforms that would raise up good officials and remove poor actors.

A healthy democracy depends on treating individuals equally under the law. People may hold different political opinions, religious beliefs, or worldviews, but those differences should never determine how government officials apply justice or exercise public authority. Public institutions are designed to protect equal rights, freedom of speech, freedom of religion, and due process—not to reward one group while disadvantaging another. At least these were once important values to founding mothers and fathers. (As side note. In our learning example, even if we accepted distorted measures such as race, religion, or supposed genetic longevity within a nation, those same metrics would likely show that the people who were targeted were more representative of the nation's early formation than those promoting the bias. However, such measures are fundamentally flawed. High-performing societies are built on merit, capability, and contribution—not identity, prejudice, or political distortion. A society that fails to attract, develop, and retain talented people will inevitably struggle with human capital development and innovation because innovation depends on drawing talent from the broadest possible pool. Historically, periods of societal decline have often coincided with moral and political decline, while periods of innovation and societal advancement have frequently emerged together because both rely on productive interactions, trust, and the free exchange of ideas. Hatred, corruption, and exclusion weaken those connections, replacing cooperation with an "us versus them" mentality when successful societies instead depend on a shared sense of "we.")

The founders of many democratic systems recognized that power requires oversight. Constitutions, independent courts, elections, and other checks and balances were created to limit abuses of authority. While these safeguards are essential, they are only effective when public officials are committed to enforcing them and correcting wrongdoing when it occurs. When we do not correct obvious wrongdoing those decision maker become part of the problem.

For that reason, it is important to recognize and support the many ethical public servants who faithfully uphold the law and serve their communities with integrity. These individuals strengthen public trust and reinforce the principles upon which democratic institutions depend.

At the same time, accountability remains essential. When misconduct occurs, it should be investigated fairly, corrected through appropriate legal and institutional processes, and followed by reforms that reduce the likelihood of similar problems in the future. Restoring confidence requires both transparency and a willingness to address systemic weaknesses. If they believe in their society's root principles they will uphold and strengthen them. To not correct wrongdoing means you protect wrongdoing.

Ultimately, maintaining strong institutions is a shared responsibility. Citizens contribute by staying informed, participating in elections, engaging constructively in civic life, and encouraging accountability from public officials. Democracies endure when their institutions remain committed to fairness, equal treatment, and the rule of law rather than personal interests or ideological favoritism.

Protecting these values is not only about preserving today's institutions but also about ensuring that future generations inherit a system built on justice, integrity, and equal opportunity for all.

While the concepts can be applied anywhwere the idea of trust, integrity, and proper use of resources to protect root societal values is important. Today is election day. Get out and vote your conscious.

*This is a philosophical thought experiment with many different ways of viewing so take with a grain of salt. There is no true right or wrong answer.

Organized Crime and Corruption: Building Resilient Public Institutions Against Emerging Threats

  • The OECD reports that organized crime is increasingly using corruption and fraud to infiltrate public institutions, legitimate businesses, and government services, making corruption prevention a national security and economic priority.
  • Many countries lack comprehensive strategies that integrate anti-corruption, anti-fraud, and organized crime efforts, highlighting the need for stronger cross-government coordination and international cooperation.
  • Public institutions can strengthen resilience by improving transparency, reinforcing ethical standards, enhancing oversight, and implementing robust risk management systems in areas vulnerable to criminal influence.
  • Governments are encouraged to increase information sharing among law enforcement, financial intelligence units, regulatory agencies, and international partners to detect and disrupt organized criminal networks more effectively.
  • The report concludes that investing in integrity systems, digital monitoring tools, and preventative governance measures reduces opportunities for corruption while protecting public trust, economic stability, and democratic institutions.

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2026). Anti-corruption and integrity outlook 2026: Harnessing the integrity advantage (Chapter 11: Organized crime and corruption). OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/16708b78-en