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Thursday, August 6, 2026

Weekly Jobless Claims Ending August 1: Michigan Has Decrease in New Claims

Unemployment claims for the week ending August 1 rose slightly, but overall the labor market continues to show resilience. Most Americans who want to work are employed, which is an encouraging sign. The challenge now is to continue creating opportunities for workers to increase their skills, productivity, and earning potential through education, training, and workforce development. Of course matched with motivating opportunities.

One encouraging detail in the report is that Michigan recorded one of the largest declines in initial unemployment claims, driven in part by fewer layoffs in manufacturing.

Manufacturing remains an important part of the U.S. economy. Policies that encourage investment in domestic manufacturing and support the expansion or return of production facilities can strengthen employment, supply chains, and local communities. Many manufacturers shifted production overseas over the past several decades in search of lower costs, and efforts to expand domestic production may provide additional opportunities for American workers.

(As a side thought. When our labor, leaders, and others help build these companies the should maintain the bulk of their operations in the US where we receive the benefit. It is not all about the money! There are other values to consider.)

Overall, the latest unemployment claims data suggest the labor market remains on solid footing. Continuing to invest in workforce skills, innovation, and competitive domestic industries can help sustain employment growth and improve long-term economic prosperity.

U.S. Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims: August 1, 2026

  • Initial unemployment claims rose slightly to 199,000, while the four-week moving average declined, indicating stable layoff activity.
  • Continued unemployment increased to 1.801 million, but the insured unemployment rate remained unchanged at 1.2%.
  • Unadjusted initial claims declined during the week, reflecting normal seasonal patterns.
  • Michigan recorded one of the largest decreases in initial claims, largely due to fewer manufacturing layoffs.
  • Overall, the report suggests the labor market remains relatively resilient, with layoffs continuing at historically low levels.

U.S. Department of Labor. (2026, August 6). Unemployment insurance weekly claims (USDL-26-1307-NAT). Employment and Training Administration. https://www.dol.gov

The Allegory of the Clan: A Philosophical Exploration of Court Corruption and Constitutional Principles

The Allegory of the Clan is a hypothetical philosophical thought experiment modeled after Plato's Allegory of the Cave. It is not intended to describe any specific organization or institution but rather to explore how hatred, corruption, abuse of authority, and group loyalty can emerge within any democracy when accountability breaks down. In the allegory, a powerful in-group targets those it considers outsiders because of their race, ethnicity, religion, political views, or other characteristics. In essence, they were misuing the power entrusted to them within an institution to do things that were high unconstitutional like violating freedom of religion, speach, and human rights.  

(Most nationalists would fall short of their own criteria. Patriots focus on values that are universal and nationalists focus on identity and in-groups.)

(Illustrative Only)

A democracy works 
best when corruption is
rooted out, focus is on the
next generation, and
we elect our best and 
brightest to preserve
our generational values.
Corruption has no place
in the court or in any
institution.
Vote your conscious.

Members of the group engage in intimidation, spread false rumors, encourage collective harassment, misuse investigations, harmed children, enriched themselves through threats of violence, and isolate individuals from their communities (In this learning example the community rejected the hate despite the courts rewarding misbehaviors.). The purpose of the allegory is to examine how prejudice can become institutionalized when people place loyalty to a group, foreign ideas of religious hate, or domestic inspired racial entitlement (segregationsist) that put them above the rule of law and equal treatment.

As the story develops, it becomes apparent that the same closed network protects its own members while denying justice to others. Victims from many different backgrounds—including people reporting serious misconduct—find themselves ignored, blamed and openly target/retaliated against rather than protected. When evidence of wrongdoing begins to surface and the risk of accountability increases, the network shifts responsibility onto the victims, wipes their hands, walks away instead of addressing the underlying misconduct. More victims in the future are created. Intentional undermining of the institution and negligence in duty apparent. The allegory raises an important philosophical question: if institutions fail to investigate themselves honestly, how can public trust be maintained?

Research on public confidence in democratic institutions consistently suggests that trust depends on perceptions of fairness, transparency, and accountability. Public confidence often varies across different levels of government and the justice system, but a common theme is that people are more likely to trust institutions they believe apply the law impartially and hold everyone to the same standards (They made oaths and they should be bound by them.). This is why we all say oaths but not all believe in them and it has nothing to do with their religion, race or political party. Your merit in your values is what determines your loyalty to these principles. It determins your moral conscious;or lack thereof.

The broader lesson of the allegory is that every democracy faces the challenge of ensuring that public institutions remain faithful to their constitutional principles rather than becoming influenced by dark triad ideologies (foreign or domestic inspired), favoritism, or personal relationships. While the overwhelming majority of public servants act ethically and serve their communities with integrity, democracies must also recognize that no institution is immune from misconduct. Effective oversight, independent review, transparency, and meaningful checks and balances help ensure that abuses of power remain the exception rather than becoming normalized.

(Encourage those who do right to people and discourage those who do wrong. Support and encourage the youth to be involved and join these institutions to strengthen them and patch the cracks. One generations sins should be challenged by the next in a fluid system. It was designed this way.)

Ultimately, the allegory is not about assigning blame to any one institution. It is about encouraging citizens, scholars, and policymakers to think critically about how democratic societies can strengthen accountability while preserving public confidence. Not worn out false narratives. Strong democracies depend not only on good laws but also on institutions that investigate misconduct fairly, protect the rights of minorities and vulnerable populations, and uphold the principle that no individual or group is above the law. Otherwise all those struggles over generations come to nothing because some of the peole we put into positions to preserve those values would prefer to cater to specific groups that have abandoned these generational trusts.

Vote your conscious. Pick the best and brightest over the most connected. If you do not know who to vote for then pick an independent to limit the power of partisanship and insert new ideas and people. Open the lines of democracy from the bottom up versus perserving the top down and the increasing concentration of wealth and rights. 

*This is a philosophical discussion and thought experiment so take with a grain of salt. There is no right or wrong answer. 

Favorable Views of the Supreme Court Remain Near Historic Low

  • Public opinion of the U.S. Supreme Court remains near a historic low, with roughly half of Americans holding an unfavorable view of the Court. Favorable ratings have declined substantially since 2021 and have remained relatively stable at these lower levels.
  • Views of the Court continue to differ sharply by political affiliation. Republicans are considerably more likely to view the Court favorably than Democrats, while independents fall between the two groups, reflecting ongoing political polarization.
  • Despite the Court's low favorability, opinions have changed little over the past several years, suggesting that public attitudes have stabilized after a period of significant decline.

Pew Research Center. (2026, July 30). Favorable views of Supreme Court remain near historic low. https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/07/30/favorable-views-of-supreme-court-remain-near-historic-low/

State of the State Courts: 2025 Public Opinion Poll Findings

  • Public confidence in state courts remained relatively stable, with state courts continuing to receive higher trust ratings than the federal courts and other branches of government. The survey found that 62% of respondents expressed confidence in their state court system.
  • Respondents identified access to justice as a major concern, citing the complexity of legal processes and the cost of legal assistance. Strong support was expressed for reforms such as expanding practical legal education, increasing supervised courtroom experience for law students, and modernizing the bar examination.
  • The survey also found strong public support for protecting judges and court staff, while concerns about artificial intelligence in the courts remain significant. About half of respondents worried AI could negatively affect state courts, highlighting the importance of implementing technology carefully and transparently.

National Center for State Courts. (2025, December 10). State of the State Courts: 2025 public opinion poll findings. https://www.ncsc.org/resources-courts/state-state-courts-2025-public-opinion-poll-findings

Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Fishing Adventure #4: Yellow Perch Confusion Tactics

The other evening I went out for a swim hoping while we still have these beautiful summer evenings. I checked out a new fishing spot, but the water was pretty rough on one side, so I stayed on the calmer side instead. I quickly discovered my artificial bait had disappeared somewhere along the way, which probably explains why the fish weren't exactly lining up to bite.

With fishing temporarily off the table, I just enjoyed the swim and watched a big school of yellow perch doing endless circles (Yep I got to do something out there.). I later learned they do that to find food and confuse predators. Apparently, they decided I was the predator—although with no bait, I wasn't much of a threat.

That gave me a crazy idea that if you can find a large school of fish on a fish finder then you can plop yourselve into the middle of it while they swim around you. Maybe it would work. 🤷 Like shark. 

I also left my keys and cellphone on the beach while I was in the water. A woman walking her dog stopped to check it out, and from a distance I was thinking, "Please don't inspect my car keys!" She was just curious and moved on, but it convinced me that a waterproof dry bag is probably a better investment than another lure the fish won't let me keep.

Summer doesn't last forever, so I'm making the most of these evening swims while I still can.

You may want to enjoy my perch school video.

ADP National Employment Report 44K and Trends July 2026

 The ADP private-sector employment report was interesting because it showed that employers added just 44,000 jobs, well below expectations. While this represents a slowdown in hiring, it's important to look beyond a single month's data and focus on the broader trend. Overall, the labor market, according to the year chart below) has remained relatively stable, even as hiring has cooled.

What makes this report more noteworthy is that it aligns with several other economic indicators pointing toward a moderation in economic activity. As more reports begin to tell a similar story, the possibility of a slower economy becomes more credible. That said, one report alone does not establish a trend, and economic forecasts are never guaranteed.

For now, the best approach is to continue monitoring incoming data rather than drawing firm conclusions. Markets and the economy have surprised analysts many times before, so while the recent evidence suggests some slowing, we'll have to wait and see whether this develops into a more sustained trend.

(Notice the smaller companies seem to be adding the most jobs so when we think of the value of start-ups and small businesses in towns like Escanaba we may find that the value of the downtown could be high and produce new jobs over a period of time.)

July 2026 ADP Report

ADP National Employment Report Latest Release Results

  • Private employers added 44,000 jobs according to the national employment data results.

  • Sector-level hiring remained choppy, while year-over-year pay growth for job-changers accelerated to its fastest pace in nearly a year.

  • Small establishments with 1-19 employees led growth by adding 27,000 jobs, followed by large establishments with 500+ employees adding 13,000 jobs.

  • Education and health services led industry gains by adding 36,000 jobs, while leisure and hospitality added 11,000 jobs and financial activities added 10,000 jobs.

  • The report highlights labor market supply constraints and shifting employer reactions to ongoing macroeconomic conditions.

APA Reference:

ADP Research Institute. (2026). ADP National Employment Report. Retrieved August 6, 2026, from https://adpemploymentreport.com/

ADP


Month (Report)Private Jobs Added
January22,000 
February84,000 
March62,000 
April109,000 
May122,000 
June98,000 
July44,000 (


A Few Acrylic Painting Pieces You Might Enjoy

Below you'll find a gallery of some of my paintings. Art is one of my hobbies, and I enjoy creating pieces inspired by the places, people, and moments that catch my attention. I hope you enjoy looking through them as much as I enjoyed painting them.

I've also been exploring ways to support this website without making it feel cluttered or overly commercial. One approach is simply offering some of my artwork and a few other items for sale. Still thinking about it. If you decide to purchase a piece, you're not only supporting my creative hobby but also helping me continue producing new work.

One of the things I enjoy most about selling my artwork is being able to give back. After covering the cost of art supplies and materials, I donate a portion of the proceeds to charitable causes. One organization that is especially meaningful to me is an orphanage I have personally visited. Seeing the children there left a lasting impression, and I hope to return again in the future. While I can't donate every dollar from each sale, I am committed to sharing a portion of the proceeds to help provide things like school supplies, food, and other necessities for children and other worthwhile charitable efforts (You can donate directly to Donate Orphan Page).

Thank you for taking the time to visit my gallery. Whether you're simply browsing or choose to purchase a piece, I truly appreciate your support. Every painting allows me to continue creating, enjoy a hobby I love, and hopefully make a small positive difference in someone else's life.

https://www.ebay.com/usr/uprower

You can obtain a $5 discount by buying via Pay Pal

https://www.paypal.com/ncp/payment/EBTBZJ2A8P4UN




Tuesday, August 4, 2026

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services June 2026-Slower and more Narrow

 The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for June 2026 is an interesting release because it generally aligns with several other recent economic reports. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed during the month, which is typically viewed as a positive development. Year to date, the goods and services trade deficit has fallen $189.3 billion, a 33.8% decrease compared with the same period in 2025. Overall, this suggests that the nation's trade balance has been moving in a healthier direction.

At the same time, both exports and imports declined during June. While a smaller trade deficit is encouraging, slowing trade activity can also signal a cooling economy. That possibility appears to be consistent with a few other recent economic indicators, although it is too early to draw firm conclusions. Economic conditions can change quickly, and ongoing discussions about global supply chains, tariffs, and trade policy could also influence these trends in the coming months.

One area where the report could be even more informative is by providing a clearer breakdown of trade changes by country. A chart showing which nations experienced the largest increases or decreases in U.S. exports and imports would offer valuable insight into how global trade relationships are evolving and where opportunities or challenges may be emerging. Gaining an understanding of country, product/info movement, human capital change, etc. could lead to insight into contributing factors.

By country information can be found U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services – June 2026

  • The U.S. trade deficit narrowed to $73.3 billion in June 2026, improving from a revised $77.6 billion in May as imports declined more than exports.
  • Exports totaled $314.7 billion, a decrease of $2.9 billion from May, while imports fell by a larger $7.3 billion to $388.0 billion.
  • The goods trade deficit decreased by $3.9 billion to $102.1 billion, reflecting a stronger balance in merchandise trade during the month.
  • The services trade surplus increased by $0.5 billion to $28.8 billion. June also marked record highs for both U.S. services exports ($107.8 billion) and services imports ($79.0 billion).
  • Despite the monthly improvement, the report highlights continued shifts in global trade patterns, with record trade deficits reported with countries including Mexico, Vietnam, and South Korea, while the next international trade report is scheduled for September 3, 2026.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. (2026, August 4). U.S. international trade in goods and services, June 2026. U.S. Department of Commerce. https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-june-2026 

Life Crafting and Doing What You Value in this Life

 Do what you want with this life. It is a journey from one point to another. We are born, we eventually die, and everything in between is the experience of living. Yes, there will be challenges, setbacks, and moments of heartache, but there is also a lot of amazing and interesting things along the way. Wonderful things that show you why life is valuable. The key is learning how to navigate those experiences without turning small problems into major obstacles. Many things we worry about—minor setbacks, disappointments, or perceived slights—are temporary and much smaller than we make them out to be.

One of the biggest keys to success is having some idea of what you want to accomplish. In business, this means creating clear, achievable goals (i.e. SMART goals). In life, it means having a general direction for your activities and choices. Life is not only about work, money, friends, or recreation. It is a combination of maintaining what matters, making progress, and finding meaning.

For example, I enjoy business, learning, the outdoors, fitness, and exploring new experiences. As life changes, our interests and priorities naturally change as well. However, our personalities often continue to influence the paths we choose. Someone with an explorer’s personality may seek adventure and discovery, while someone else may be drawn toward stability, creativity, or community. There is no single correct way to live.

People often say you have to live a certain way, but beyond meeting your basic needs and contributing to society, how you design your life is ultimately your choice. Personally, I have certifications as a fitness trainer and yoga instructor, and I do those activities because I enjoy them. A little exercise, mindfulness, and meditation can benefit anyone.

If you are interested in fitness, wellness, or learning more about these activities, feel free to send me a message or email. muradabel@gmail.com

Life Crafting as a Way to Find Purpose and Meaning in Life

  1. The article explains how “life crafting” helps people create a clearer sense of purpose and meaning in their lives.
  2. Life crafting involves thinking about personal values, future goals, strengths, and the actions needed to achieve desired outcomes.
  3. The authors explain that setting meaningful goals can improve motivation, well-being, and personal growth.
  4. Creating a plan for the future helps individuals connect everyday decisions with their larger life purpose.
  5. Life crafting can be used as a tool to help people improve both personal and professional development.

Schippers, M. C., & Ziegler, N. (2019). Life crafting as a way to find purpose and meaning in life. Frontiers in Psychology, 10, Article 2778. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2019.02778