Friday, January 23, 2026

Q3 GDP at 4.4% and A Few Thoughts on Export Value (Omar Taps His Team's Creativity)

(Illustrative Only)
Omar develops his team 
by appreciating the unique
skills each person brings to the 
table. Over the years
he has learned to develop
human capital to maximize
productive development.
He appreciates people
by respecting their contributions.
He thinks his
product engineering and
design business could
do well in the UP. 
The idea is to use 
innovation and creativity
to develop and export products.


Reviewing the third-quarter 2025 GDP release shows that real GDP increased by about 4.4 percent. This growth was primarily driven by consumer spending, exports, government spending, and investment, while imports declined. Corporate profits also increased during this period. Overall, these developments represent positive news from an economic standpoint.

From a national perspective, strengthening exports remains critical, particularly by positioning the country at the center of global supply chains. Doing so allows the creation of maximum value at key points of innovation and creativity, rather than only at the extraction or assembly stages.

This is why I advocate for strong human capital development and for drawing in the best and brightest from across the country. By cultivating creative innovators, the nation can transform resources from around the world into products and services that others need and are willing to import.

Looking ahead, the central competition among nations will be about who can become the primary hub of creation. Artificial intelligence will change some of the underlying assumptions about how this process works, but ultimately it still comes down to human capacity. With that context in mind, the numbers below help illustrate in part where we currently stand.

  • Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 4.4 percent in the third quarter of 2025, slightly revised upward and faster than growth in the previous quarter.

  • Economic growth was driven by increases in consumer spending, exports, government spending, and investment, while imports declined.

  • Real final sales to private domestic purchasers rose 2.9 percent, indicating steady underlying domestic demand.

  • Output increased across most private industries, with services-producing industries leading growth, while government output declined slightly.

  • Corporate profits from current production increased by $175.6 billion, reflecting continued strength in the business sector.


Gross Domestic Product, 3rd Quarter 2025 (Updated Estimate), GDP by Industry, and Corporate Profits (Revised)

Employment Act 1946 started the Joint Committee on the National Budget to study and advise Congress on the National Budget. Their current release is below,

US Congress Joint Economic Committee GDP Update








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