Tuesday, December 23, 2025

GDP 3Q 2025 4.3% Growth, Trade Balance, and Cautious Optimism

Tyrone is watching
the GDP numbers and thinking
about whether he should
hire more workers
and invest more in his 
lumber trucking company.
Interestingly, reported GDP growth reached 4.3% in the third quarter of 2025, which is a strong performance by most standards. Exports increased while imports declined, a combination that is generally positive for overall economic health. While imports remain important—particularly when domestic sources of raw materials or specialized inputs are limited—a favorable trade balance typically supports wealth creation for both individuals and nations. In broad terms, economies tend to grow more sustainably when they sell more than they buy.

It is less clear why investment levels have declined, though this may reflect caution rather than weakness. In that context, it could represent an opportunity to invest in U.S.-based companies, particularly in industries with long-term growth potential. Investment directed toward domestic sectors can stimulate expansion when capital is used to build capacity, innovation, and global competitiveness. Both institutional investors and individual participants play a role in helping firms gain traction in export markets by providing the funding needed to scale.

Previously, data like this suggested surface-level growth accompanied by concerning undercurrents. At present, however, the trajectory appears more clearly positive. It is entirely possible that earlier concerns were overstated; reassessment and course correction are part of any serious economic analysis. Maybe they are still of concern or maybe not? Forecasting inevitably involves uncertainty, and while trends can be observed, unforeseen events remain beyond anyone’s control. The goal is not perfect prediction, but improved judgment over time. There are still undercurrent issues but this seems a touch counter to those concerns.

There is reason for cautious optimism, and continued monitoring of the data is warranted. For executives in particular, understanding how GDP functions—and how spending, investment, and trade contribute to it—is essential. Recognizing broader economic trends can inform better strategic decisions at the firm level, especially for organizations that must operate within these macroeconomic conditions. A temporary decline in investment may simply reflect a “wait-and-see” approach among market participants. In that sense, patience and continued observation may be the most prudent course for now. 

Projections are fun, because it is ok to interpret the crystal ball in numerous different ways. What do you think?





Happy Holidays Veterans and Families (Hope For The Warriors)



The holidays are a special time of year when people come together to share warmth and goodwill. Whether you are a veteran or not, the holiday season can also bring added stress for many. You may find it helpful to explore the organization Hope For The Warriors, which offers practical resources and guidance for navigating this time of year.

Whatever your plans may be this holiday season, please stay safe—and thank you for all that you have done in service to society. Your commitment and character are a testament to the values we celebrate, and they are among the most meaningful gifts that can be shared during the holidays.

Hope For Warriors-How Veterans, Military Families, and Caregivers Can Find Joy During the Holidays

Hope for Warriors was started by Marines and family members. About Hope for Warriors

(*For our veterans and a local organization-Happy Holidays!)

Monday, December 22, 2025

Leadership Traits in Effective Executive Management (The Board Meets: Santa Becomes CEO)

A recurring question in leadership concerns the traits that characterize effective chief executive officers and senior executives. Popular media and cultural narratives often portray successful CEOs as hard-nosed, aggressive, and unyielding decision-makers who rely on dominance and certainty. Empirical research, however, suggests that while such leadership styles may yield short-term performance gains, they frequently undermine long-term organizational effectiveness, sustainability, and employee trust.

Fairness, Firmness, and Expectation Setting

The Board of Directors
meets to discuss their next
CEO at XYZ Widdle Wood Corp.

(XYZ Widdle Wood Corp.
is probably somewhere
out in Garden. Third reindeer trail on the left
. Its illustrative only.)

Sometimes they play golf and
sometimes they dress up 
and meet around a camp
fire to discuss business. 

It is said that deals are made on the
fairway and sometimes in the UP
they can also be made over
smoores and pudgy pies!

Jan thinks it is time
to subcontract with Santa
and hire a new CEO 
that understands how
to work with eleves. But, 
would like to offer Santa
a deal!


Effective executive leadership requires a balance of firmness and fairness, supported by clear expectation-setting and procedural consistency. Employees perform best when role expectations are explicit, attainable, and aligned with organizational objectives rather than the personal preferences of senior leadership. Equally important is the perceived fairness of the processes through which goals are pursued. When organizational systems are viewed as equitable and mission-driven, they reduce internal conflict and foster durable commitment.

Leadership Flexibility and Accessibility

Leadership flexibility is a critical determinant of executive effectiveness. CEOs who exhibit excessive rigidity, limited accessibility, or binary thinking often impede organizational adaptability. Research indicates that leaders who prioritize personal status, exceptional treatment, or image management over operational responsibility risk long-term dysfunction. The primary role of the CEO is stewardship of the organization, not self-promotion; flexibility and approachability enhance decision quality and institutional resilience.

Emotional Intelligence and Executive Judgment

So-called “soft skills,” particularly emotional intelligence, play a central role in executive decision-making. Emotional intelligence enables leaders to navigate complex interpersonal dynamics, manage competing interests, and maintain composure under pressure. At the executive level—where decisions often involve significant uncertainty and high stakes—reflective judgment is essential. The literature consistently demonstrates that effective strategic decisions are rarely made under conditions of haste or emotional reactivity.

Analytical Competence and Strategic Thinking

The Board of Directors
realized if Santa was hired as CEO
of XYZ Widdle Wood Corp
he could have them expand
his elf production by 30% 
as well as gain 50% more
smiles on their income 
statement.

The board and Santa
are aligned in mission. Toys
bring smiles and smiles and 
good cheers are worth
their weight in gold!
This company is going
to make the board
very wealthy in good kharma.

(Ok..it was my holiday example)

Analytical competence further distinguishes effective executives. Strategic leadership requires the ability to process complex information, identify meaningful patterns, and translate insight into coherent organizational strategy. Executives who understand both internal organizational dynamics and external environmental pressures are better positioned to identify strengths, address deficiencies, and expand strategic options. This form of integrative analysis is foundational to long-term competitive positioning.

Learning Orientation and Executive Humility

One of the most critical yet underemphasized leadership traits is the capacity to acknowledge error and engage in continuous learning. Organizational learning depends on feedback receptivity and adaptive behavior at the top of the hierarchy. Leaders who perceive themselves as infallible often suppress dissent, misuse resources, and foster organizational instability. While the negative consequences of executive arrogance may not be immediately visible, their cumulative effects frequently manifest in reduced performance, morale, and institutional credibility.

Ethical Responsibility and Social Context

Finally, effective CEOs must recognize the broader social and ethical context in which organizations operate. Firms are collective enterprises composed of individuals who contribute their skills toward shared objectives. Sustained organizational commitment emerges when employees are treated as stakeholders rather than expendable inputs. Ethical leadership therefore extends to how difficult decisions—such as workforce reductions—are implemented. Even when economically necessary, such actions should be carried out with transparency, dignity, and respect, reinforcing organizational legitimacy and social trust.

Rebuilding Trust Through Community and Accountability

Let us discuss some of what we have learned in our running learning thought experiment story about hate, corruption, and the belief that certain people are somehow “better” than others. These dynamics do not arise in a vacuum. They are shaped by countless small details and historical patterns that resurface whenever people engage in misconduct (Sometimes up to 5 waves). Over time, such behaviors become learned and normalized, often reinforced through social networks, inappropriate incentives, and personal gain.

Adam has seen much of the world, 
reads history, and has learned about
different peoples. He knows that
hate and misbehaviors detract
from society. So he created
a thought experiment to teach
a few of the central codified
and sancrosanct values so 
that they are respected in
decision making. He thinks
the next generation should learn 
these values as well. 
To explore this, consider a learning thought experiment. In this scenario, a clan-oriented court system and a tight-knit group of friends—mixed with a few rogue officers—engage in ongoing wrongdoing. These officers targeted individuals who spoke out after witnessing corruption, and they also targeted minorities to discourage them from visiting or living in the area. Their aim was to protect their own interests, enrich their friends, and remove anyone who threatened the group’s ability to control others. All of the actors belonged to the same insular social circle, one with a long history of bullying, belittling others, and displaying smug contempt. Rather than correcting the misconduct, the court favored these “local friends” and rewarded bad behavior, deepening the harm inflicted on those outside the group. Sometimes the out-group was the community itself that wants a healthy positive place to raise their children and learn sports from good mentors and see themselves as all valued no matter their race, religion, eye color, size, etc... (The next generation that is often forgotten in decision making).

When we analyze patterns like this, we often find additional victims. The same individuals and rogue officers had mistreated others for personal gain. Formal complaints existed, yet they were repeatedly ignored. In many cases, those who came forward faced swift retaliation. Whistleblowing offered no real confidentiality; instead, it was used as a pretext to spread false rumors, initiate baseless investigations, and discredit victims. Some misbehaviors continued for a long time and impacted not only adults but also youth.

What makes this especially troubling is that all involved knew their actions were wrong. They justified them because their own group benefited. The clan-oriented court prioritized familiarity over merit, reflecting deep racial and religious bias rooted not in fairness, but in perception and favoritism. This unfolded during a period when political extremism was gaining momentum, framing issues as “all for us or all against us,” and providing cover for misconduct. Life should never be reduced to such absolutes unless one is attempting to manipulate opinion.

Mo Mo couldn't see others
well so he had to buy glasses. 

We live much of our lives in little
fishbowls and until we swim
in other fish bowls we won't 
be capable of judging the fish
there. This is why
connecting with others
creates more shared
perspectives (unless
someone is trying to divide)

Philosophically, if you
spend some time multiple 
fish bowls you will see
the similarities in each
.
There is a logic to life.
In this learning example, the wrongdoing was never fully undone because it extended beyond individual actors. This helps explain why trust in institutions might decline fairly rapidly during certain eras (era being defined here as 10-20 years through social changes). These institutions were meant to serve everyone, guided by shared expectations of fairness, justice, and socially sanctioned rules and values. Silencing political opinion, targeting victims, and undermining free speech through aggression are not principles on which a country was founded—no matter how often some may try to misuse them.

The silver lining is that many people recognized the injustice. The vast majority of officers—and people more broadly—are good and openly disagreed with the misconduct. Some raised concerns and articulated the idea of a “clan court,”(Here social and official get wrapped into one) where certain individuals behave as though they are above the law. Unfortunately, that perception sometimes proves accurate, allowing harmful behaviors to persist in different forms. Still, good people challenged the corruption, and when accountability improved, economic and social health began to recover relatively quickly (Something to think about if someone talks about improving the economy but fails to address human capital development needed to achieve those goals on a broad scale. Technology and human capital are part of social and economic growth. In theory.).

As for the smug, “better-than-others” social influencers who thrived during this period of misconduct, they are neither wholly evil nor admirable (Don't think of evil here as a purely absolute state. Think of it in a general term such as wrongdoing or a bad act. Such an act is "evil" because it detracts from society or self.). They are shallow individuals who lack genuine respect for others. They are not more successful, skilled, or accomplished than the people they target, yet they convince themselves that their insular, cult-like networks grant them superiority and entitlement. Many define themselves through sports—often exaggerating their abilities. History is full of similar examples, where complaints are dismissed and victims are told to stay quiet and move on.

What is encouraging is that beyond stopping corruption, good people came together and strengthened their sense of community. They recognized their shared responsibility to one another and to future generations. They appreciated the community, its history, and were well aware of the oversized egos involved. This reflects true civic patriotism. Communities are the central purpose of institutions, and those communities thrive when they draw on talent, ability, and moral conscience to build something greater than any single group.

We also learn something about ourselves by observing those who engage in smug hatred. They are incapable of fairly judging others because they know little about the people they condemn—their contributions, service, skills, or character. Their worldview is shaped by narrow social perspectives, leaving them unable to see others clearly. Perhaps the people they judge are in a completely different fishbowl and they cannot see clearly through the dirty glass. Interestingly, when removed from a cult-like atmosphere, many of these individuals become reasonable again, as if the spell simply dissolves. Poof magic! 🧙🏼‍♂️🤷

As a piece of imperfect but practical advice: when confronted with rude, aggressive people who take pleasure in harming or belittling others, it is often best to remain calm and polite while firmly maintaining boundaries. These individuals create conflict wherever they go. If it is not one person who challenges destructive behavior, it may be a minority, or someone who speaks out; if not them, then someone else whom a friend can exploit. Rumors, however, cause real damage. They have harmed communities by turning social life into something resembling a “kiss-the-ring” mob rather than a genuine exchange rooted in respect and authenticity.

Ultimately, we should strive to build the best society possible. There is always room for institutional growth and reform, and healthy social development can go a long way. When long-standing issues persist despite widespread concern, it becomes necessary to elect leaders who genuinely care about improving systems—leaders who support the vast majority of ethical officials while holding accountable the small number of bad actors who repeatedly escape consequences. Most people in these professions are honorable, and young people should be encouraged to join, engage, and be part of the solution rather than being misled by black-and-white thinking that too often benefits only a narrow segment of society.

Until next time—stay faithful to your principles, and to the shared values on which a healthy society depends. Makes no difference if we are discussing ancient or modern times as some things are important through the centuries. "Happy indeed would be the condition of youth if they had one corrupter only, and all the rest of the world were their improvers."-Socrates-Apology

Sunday, December 21, 2025

Escanaba City Council Regular Meeting Thursday (December 18, 2025): DDA

 A pretty good presentation by the DDA. It is nice to see what is going on downtown. The downtown is a developing asset so hopefully it will continue to grow. Downtowns can be a tourist draw. Agenda

What Sports Really Teach Us About Character and Attitude

Sports are essential for training both the body and the mind. They help build healthy habits, create social networks, and contribute to national competitiveness. In general, sports are good for people and carry important values related to personal growth and development. While I’m fairly good at many sports, I wouldn’t say I’m exceptional at any single one—though from time to time, I surprise myself. There is a particular mentality involved in playing sports well, and that is worth discussing.

Go get your nut!

"He calls himself the squirrel,
and you know why that is
... because he gets that nut."
 — 
Rob Gronkowski
I won’t list the many specific traits and technical skills that can make someone a strong athlete. You can find a nice article below on that. Instead, the qualities that seem to matter most are humility—the willingness to learn—and dedication to the craft. The ability to work well within a team fosters strong outcomes. Teamwork is learned over time, and when it develops, it leads to higher group performance.

Over the years, I’ve learned the difference between the right perspective and the wrong one. I’ve met several exceptional professional athletes across different fields. I’ve also played multiple sports myself, ranging from fencing and martial arts to horseback riding and dance. I consider myself fairly multi-skilled, though I suspect this is less about innate talent and more about exposure, practice, and time. I have given up with dreams of stardom and now focus on just doing things to do them for fun and health.

Having the right attitude when playing sports with others is critical. Arrogant, rude, aggressive, or manipulative players should never be on a team. It doesn’t matter how exceptional they believe themselves to be—those behaviors erode group cohesion and create toxicity through “better-than-thou” attitudes. In my experience, the rudest players are rarely the most confident or the most skilled. More often, they are only slightly above average.

What I’ve observed instead is that the best athletes are often among the most polite. They are eager to help, willing to share their knowledge, and genuinely love their sport. They listen—to coaches and teammates alike—and they know how to build teams. They understand that while talent may play a role in success, dedication matters far more. I’m sure rude professional athletes exist, but I’ve personally never encountered one.

What I have encountered in abundance are rude, mediocre players. In some sports, they seem especially common. They can often be outperformed on the field because they focus more on appearances than execution. Real focus requires commitment, not abrasion. People who are dedicated to something don't wan't to waste precious time in unproductive behaviors.

What we might learn from this is that if you want to do something you should dedicate yourself to it and avoid those who are not going to contribute positively to your goals. Surround yourself by team players and good people watch your success growth. 

Btw I have a trainer, yoga, and other license so if you need a little help and want to engage in virtual training let me know by sending a message to the right. 

20 Personality Traits of High Performance Sports Players

The Benefits of Multi Sport Playing

Grace Leads to Insight and Change: Understanding Bigotry and Hate and How to Learn From It

Speaking out against bigotry and wrongdoing is essential, especially when such behavior continues for long periods without correction or adaptive learning. We are meant to function as one people, yet there are those who deliberately create division through shortsighted thinking and behaviors. These individuals seek to elevate themselves by mistreating, harming and belittling others. Institutions are generally designed to guard against unchecked wrongdoing, but at times—and for various reasons—those checks and balances fail. It is not by accident they fail but by neglect of duty. In this learning example the courts knew of the wrong and incentivized it anyway. That is especially true against certain types of people. An ugly truth that has resurfaced at various times in history. Most may do the right things but when they don't victims are created. Checks amd balances are essential to good health of the system.

There is a higher purpose to the role of these institutions that some may not understand. It is important to stand for what is right even in the face of insurmountable and overwhelming odds. 

Insight is a gift and the 
greatest gift you can give
over the holidays is
the gift of understanding
and humanity. 
Values are socially driven.
We are what we believe.
Do good in the face of wrong.
You have found grace.
It is entirely natural to feel unsettled or frustrated when you witness repeated wrongdoing, particularly when groups engage in behavior that have harmed and dehumanized people they don't like even though the targets have done nothing but be a good victim (...to understand the roots of hate to help others.). Perhaps this group has done it so much to so many people they do not know the difference between right and wrong and those who placate such behaviors are the weakest most underdeveloped membersof society. They need to be liked by any means necessary. Caring is a sign of health, not weakness, even though some often interpret empathy as something to exploit. This is why such behavior is frequently accompanied by aggression, intimidation, mocking, false narratives, and subtle microaggressions. It becomes even more troubling when additional and more serious misconduct by some members comes to light and the same court failed to protect them as well (A culture of mistreatment by a few members that others took too far). At that point, it is reasonable to ask how better decisions and outcomes might have been achieved had these actions been addressed earlier. If there wasn't sometimes repeated failures to uphold our principles.

There is no perfect solution, but understanding the problem and its causes is a meaningful start. As individuals, we share a responsibility to protect others and to name harmful behavior when we see it. While imperfect, speaking out can help limit further damage. Truth matters—do not lie or exaggerate, even when honesty is not immediately rewarded. Speaking up will likely bring more mistreatment and retaliation, so it ultimately comes down to one’s deepest values. Harmful behavior is rarely isolated; it tends to recur across different people and situations. When such conduct goes unchallenged—or when individuals are treated as if they are above the law and some as barred from justice—the harm compounds.

Another essential broader tool beyond naming and identifying bad behavior is participation in the democratic process. It seems a touch obtuse but environments are influenced by leadership. Voting matters because it reflects our commitment to values such as freedom of speech, freedom of religion, and the right to live without harassment from bigots, bullies, or those who enable them. If you want to help your society think about who you are voting for as blind partisanship has damaged us (Some have argued it is time for a third party focused on the needs of the young to smooth out decision making. If we are not doing it for them then who are we doing it for?) Upholding shared, positive principles benefits society as a whole and helps build a stronger foundation for the next generation. There is nothing wrong with trying to make the world better—just be mindful and kind in the process.

Learning leads to grace.
Grace leads to understanding.
Understanding leads to knowledge.
And knowledge, ultimately, leads to change.

*This is a learning story.