Friday, December 26, 2025

The Hypothetical Feather Party: Imagining a Different Political Model

Independent voters
were here. 
A feather in the snow.
 From time to time, it is useful to step back and ask what changes might improve the way decisions are made in our political system. At present, we largely operate within a two-party framework that some have said are polarized. Decisions are often shaped by that polarization, with outcomes determined sometimes more by party alignment than by independent analyze and judgement. The system continues to function—sometimes effectively and sometimes not—there appears to be widespread party-line voting. What can we do to grease the wheels of decision making?

Now, let us imagine—purely as a thought experiment—that we could design a political alternative from scratch. Within society, there are clearly groups that hold different views, but those views are often defined by a relatively small number of core party members who are selected, vetted, and reinforced within established political networks. In contrast, when you speak to people outside those circles, many appear far more centrist, less concerned with party identity, and more interested in practical solutions. It is their country so you can't blame them.

This is where the idea of a hypothetical “Feather Party” comes in: a loosely affiliated third party organized around a small set of core principles rather than rigid ideological positions. Such principles might include evidence-based decision-making, strategic long-term thinking, ethics, and a clear focus on the well-being of the next generation. Rather than enforcing strict party-line votes, this type of party would emphasize evaluating policies based on measurable outcomes and encouraging representatives to vote according to their informed judgment and conscience.

Historically, independents and third parties have struggled to gain traction. However, in recent years, the number of independent voters has grown, along with broader interest in alternatives to the two-party system. The concept of the hypothetical Feather Party emerged simply as a mental exercise—an exploration of what such an organization might look like and how it could potentially gain momentum. The mechanics of forming such a party—registration, organization, and defining core demographics (likely younger voters and independents)—are complex and worth separate discussion.

Whether one agrees or disagrees with the idea, there are reasonable arguments both for and against it. Some may see such an effort as a meaningful way to shift political incentives; others may view it as impractical or ineffective. The goal just to discuss at what point might such independents tip the outcomes in a near 50/50 voting outcome. Ultimately, in a free society, each voter must decide for themselves. That choice may not satisfy everyone, but it reflects personal agency—and the ability to think and speak independently remains one of the most important freedoms we have. 

What are your thoughts? No right or wrong answer. Just sort of think through the possibility.

I found this interesting. Not really related other then some of the interesting information on group dynamics in general. You can consider reading.

Group Dynamics

Wednesday, December 24, 2025

Group Chats, Groupthink, and the Meaning of the Holidays (The Story of the Clan)

The holidays are a time to be thankful for what we have and to reflect on what truly matters as we roll toward 2026—preferably while holding a plate of dessert and pretending we’ll “start fresh in January.” When you look around the table at the people you’re sharing food and conversation with, it becomes clear how important those relationships are. These moments don’t happen by accident; they’re made possible by shared values, mutual respect, and a collective agreement not to flip the table over during political discussions.

Embrace togetherness!
Bark bark!
Puppies need chew toys
so they don't damage the furniture.
Of course, not everyone is committed to unity. Some people prefer division—slicing communities into tiny groups where questionable narratives can live rent-free and unchecked. Enter the philosophical story of the “clan”: a tale involving justice going on vacation, bad behavior being oddly rewarded, and authority being used less like a responsibility and more like a clearance sale. Still, even this story comes with hope, because eventually good people step forward and say, “Yeah… no, this isn’t okay.” 

In this thought experiment, a particular group engages in aggressive behavior toward others, relying heavily on rumor-spreading, undermining parents rights and put kids at risk, heckling, and what can only be described as competitive group immaturity (disperesed feelings of responsibility). They target outsiders—or anyone they happen to be jealous of—while the rest of the community quietly recognizes what’s going on and exchanges knowing looks that say, “Ah yes, them again.” Microaggressions, coordinated antics, and playground-level drama ensue, leaving real harm in their wake, especially for vulnerable individuals.

More mature adults, however, tend to recognize these patterns immediately. Group bullying often shows up as loud public behavior, creative storytelling disguised as “facts,” and an impressive inability to take responsibility. What looks like strength in numbers is usually just insecurity with a group chat. The irony is that people who actually possess confidence, competence, and real-world skills tend to be polite, calm, and boringly reasonable. Big barking, as it turns out, is rarely a sign of a big bite—it’s usually a sign of very little exposure to people who actually know what they’re doing.

As the holidays approach, it’s worth pausing to appreciate the good people around us, the communities that support us, and the values that keep society functioning—often despite our best efforts. Looking ahead to 2026, we might ask what kind of example we want to set for our children and for each other. Choosing kindness, self-control, and basic decency may not be flashy, but it turns out they age very well. Even when faced with hostility, responding with politeness, self-awareness, and gratitude is both disarming and deeply satisfying—and a reminder that we have far more to be thankful for than we sometimes realize. Get on Santa's nice list and the gift you get is integrity and commitment to certain shared values. You will be part of the solution!

Against All Odds: Adversities and Prosocial Behavior

Enjoy the Holidays Without Losing Your Fitness Momentum

Santa decides
to eat the smaller piece. 
He couldn't fit in the chimney
last time
.
You may want to get in shape this season but feel concerned about all the rich food and indulgent treats placed in front of you. One or two days of indulgence are unlikely to make a meaningful difference in your overall fitness routine. What matters most is consistency—and the willpower to limit the more unhealthy choices over time. Here are a few tips to help minimize guilt while still enjoying the season.

1. Focus on choices and options
When you have options, aim for healthier selections. For example, choosing chicken or another lean protein over a carb-heavy casserole can make a meaningful difference. Many holiday meals also include vegetables, soups, or lighter sides that support healthier eating without sacrificing enjoyment.

2. Pay attention to portion sizes
How much you eat matters just as much as what you eat. Total calorie intake affects progress whether foods are “healthy” or not. Try to eat larger portions of healthier foods and smaller portions of indulgent ones. If dessert or eggnog is offered, consider having a half portion instead of a full serving so you can enjoy it without overdoing it.

3. Remember the importance of consistency
One day will not derail your progress, but repeated “one-day exceptions” can add up. Holidays like Christmas Eve and Christmas Day are special, and strict calorie counting may not be necessary. Instead, focus on making reasonable choices and managing portions. Fitness is shaped by what you do over weeks and months—not just on a single holiday.

4. Make sure you’re enjoying the process
Long-term fitness depends on sustainability. If you dislike working out or constantly tracking calories, it will be difficult to maintain progress. For general fitness, you don’t need to track macros—simply focus on healthy eating and regular movement. More detailed tracking becomes important only for competitive or sport-specific goals. Most importantly, find routines you enjoy so you’ll want to stick with them.

I am a certified fitness trainer, and if you’d like some guidance, you’re welcome to reach out. I typically work virtually, which works well for most fitness goals.

Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Investment, Innovation, and the Growth of Emerging Industries (Mining as an Example)

 Investing plays an important role not only for individuals who purchase stocks, but also for the industries that rely on capital to grow. Large, established companies are often part of mature industries, while newer industries tend to be less saturated and may contain undervalued opportunities. Developing industries within a country like the United States requires sustained capital investment. While early-stage startups often rely on angel investors, many eventually mature into publicly traded companies when they take a scalable step.

Miner Joe
knows it is only pennies but 
anything helps in 
developing his business.
Emerging Industries and Capital Formation

In emerging industries, stock prices may initially be relatively low and can grow as the sector develops. This growth is tied to the availability of capital that allows firms to expand operations, innovate, and establish market presence. As multiple startups evolve into viable businesses, they collectively contribute to the formation of a new or strengthened industry.

Pack Investing and Industry Clustering

One approach sometimes referred to as “pack investing” involves investing in multiple companies within a single emerging sector. This strategy can help support the development of industry clusters, where firms benefit from shared infrastructure, complementary innovations, and increased market synergy. Pack investing may also extend to funding business initiatives that strengthen coordination and competition across related emerging firms.

Trend Analysis and Innovation-Driven Growth

The specific industry chosen is often less important than the ability to identify broader market trends and invest in sectors positioned for growth. Strategic investment can accelerate innovation, and innovation frequently leads to expanded markets and sustained economic development. However, these opportunities also carry risk, as not all industries or firms succeed. Diversification across multiple companies is one way investors attempt to manage this uncertainty.

Case Example: Precious Minerals and Metals

The market for precious minerals and metals in the United States provides a useful illustration. In recent years, shifts in global supply chains and pricing dynamics have altered how and where these materials are sourced. While the U.S. currently relies heavily on foreign mining and imports, changing economic and geopolitical conditions may encourage the development of new domestic mining and processing firms. I'm from the UP and there has been new mining interest in the region (The industry collapsed once due in part to the ending of the war, economic shifts and social swings. Calument used to be one of the most diverse cities of 90% immigrants and could have been the state capital. Efficient modern infrastructure and an Opera House. All gone. History of Calument)

Investor Learning and Practical Experimentation

This type of trend analysis often emerges from closely following economic news and broader geopolitical developments. Investors regularly assess how these factors may affect their portfolios over time. While I am not a professional investor, I conducted a small personal experiment by investing modest amounts across several industries I believe have growth potential. This diversified approach produced a return of approximately 180 percent, though the absolute dollar amount was limited (Super tiny amount).

Reflection on Risk and Learning

There remains much to learn about market dynamics, and this investment exercise was intended primarily as a learning experience rather than a profit-seeking strategy. Using low-cost trading platforms, even small investments can offer valuable insight into how diversification, innovation, and long-term trends interact in practice. One just needs to watch the trends, find the companies that are US. based and pick the ones that seem well run (The basic metrics are usually located with the stock price. You can alway dig deepere.)

Why is growth through innovation so difficult for established companies?

GDP 3Q 2025 4.3% Growth, Trade Balance, and Cautious Optimism

Tyrone is watching
the GDP numbers and thinking
about whether he should
hire more workers
and invest more in his 
lumber trucking company.
Interestingly, reported GDP growth reached 4.3% in the third quarter of 2025, which is a strong performance by most standards. Exports increased while imports declined, a combination that is generally positive for overall economic health. While imports remain important—particularly when domestic sources of raw materials or specialized inputs are limited—a favorable trade balance typically supports wealth creation for both individuals and nations. In broad terms, economies tend to grow more sustainably when they sell more than they buy.

It is less clear why investment levels have declined, though this may reflect caution rather than weakness. In that context, it could represent an opportunity to invest in U.S.-based companies, particularly in industries with long-term growth potential. Investment directed toward domestic sectors can stimulate expansion when capital is used to build capacity, innovation, and global competitiveness. Both institutional investors and individual participants play a role in helping firms gain traction in export markets by providing the funding needed to scale.

Previously, data like this suggested surface-level growth accompanied by concerning undercurrents. At present, however, the trajectory appears more clearly positive. It is entirely possible that earlier concerns were overstated; reassessment and course correction are part of any serious economic analysis. Maybe they are still of concern or maybe not? Forecasting inevitably involves uncertainty, and while trends can be observed, unforeseen events remain beyond anyone’s control. The goal is not perfect prediction, but improved judgment over time. There are still undercurrent issues but this seems a touch counter to those concerns.

There is reason for cautious optimism, and continued monitoring of the data is warranted. For executives in particular, understanding how GDP functions—and how spending, investment, and trade contribute to it—is essential. Recognizing broader economic trends can inform better strategic decisions at the firm level, especially for organizations that must operate within these macroeconomic conditions. A temporary decline in investment may simply reflect a “wait-and-see” approach among market participants. In that sense, patience and continued observation may be the most prudent course for now. 

Projections are fun, because it is ok to interpret the crystal ball in numerous different ways. What do you think?





Happy Holidays Veterans and Families (Hope For The Warriors)



The holidays are a special time of year when people come together to share warmth and goodwill. Whether you are a veteran or not, the holiday season can also bring added stress for many. You may find it helpful to explore the organization Hope For The Warriors, which offers practical resources and guidance for navigating this time of year.

Whatever your plans may be this holiday season, please stay safe—and thank you for all that you have done in service to society. Your commitment and character are a testament to the values we celebrate, and they are among the most meaningful gifts that can be shared during the holidays.

Hope For Warriors-How Veterans, Military Families, and Caregivers Can Find Joy During the Holidays

Hope for Warriors was started by Marines and family members. About Hope for Warriors

(*For our veterans and a local organization-Happy Holidays!)