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Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Small Business Owners Optimistic According to NFIB Survey

 If you're a small business owner, this report probably puts a smile on your face. It looks like optimism is on the rise. In another report on the blog, we saw that medium-sized businesses are also becoming more optimistic globally, so this seems to fall in line with that broader trend.

We continue to talk about human capital on this blog, and you'll see that reflected in this report as well. According to the survey, human capital remains an issue that businesses can benefit from. Technology gives us an opportunity to help address some of those challenges, but it really depends on how we utilize that technology and what we choose to focus on.

Overall, though, this is good news. Rising optimism among small and medium-sized businesses is a positive sign and is in part associated with investment. If we find small business investment rising in the near future. If not then we can continue to explore why that hasn't happened. Time will answer all questions. 

New NFIB Survey: Small Business Optimism Continues to Rise

  • The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 2.4 points in July to 99.8, moving above its 52-year historical average of 98.0 and reaching its highest level since August 2025.
  • Hiring intentions improved significantly, with 20% of small business owners planning to create new jobs over the next three months. This was a 9-point increase from June and the strongest reading since October 2022.
  • Labor remains a major challenge. Twenty-seven percent of owners identified labor quality or availability as their most important problem, while 36% reported job openings they could not fill.
  • Businesses showed greater willingness to invest, with 25% planning capital expenditures during the next six months. This was a 5-point increase from June and the highest level since December 2024.
  • Despite improving optimism, uncertainty remains elevated. The Uncertainty Index increased to 91, while concerns about inflation declined, with only 14% of owners identifying inflation as their most important problem.

National Federation of Independent Business. (2026, August 11). New NFIB survey: Small business optimism continues to rise. NFIB. https://www.nfib.com/news/press-release/new-nfib-survey-small-business-optimism-continues-to-rise-11/

Sunset in the Harbor (Photo)

 You may be interested in this photo I took the other day. Thought it was nice so I added it to my gallery.

Prints can be up to
post size for $50.
Glossy or matte.
Review My Gallery
for other works. 
Pay for Art PayPal
Email me if
you have questions or
special requests
 muradabel@gmail.com


According to Survey Global Mid-Size Businesses Feel Confident August 10th, 2026

Understanding businesses of different sizes gives us valuable insight into how they view their markets and how they are performing. A healthy economy has a diverse mix of businesses across different industries and sizes. When these businesses interact and complement one another, they can create significant economic value.

(Illustrative Only)

This guy thinks of how
to take his fishing poles
and export them. 
Considering I have 
some extra bamboo 
around from another project
I can probably see
if I can make a fishing pole
out of it. I would 
have to buy something
that would allow
me to break the pole 
down. Another
future project.
Just after the next
project. I'm not
thinking of exporting
but just seeing if I
can make one. 
You never know
what the future brings. 
😀
A recent global survey focused primarily on midsize businesses and found that they remain relatively positive about their prospects. For example, 61% of the companies surveyed expect to achieve growth, and 83% believe they can accomplish their business goals. Many are also looking to expand internationally, which is an interesting indicator of their confidence and strategic direction.

The important thing is to pay attention when studies like this are released. Read them and begin putting the pieces together. Over time, you start to see market patterns (behaviors): this is what is happening with midsize businesses, this is what is happening with larger businesses, and this is how different businesses are responding to or interacting with issues in the market.

As you accumulate this information, you can begin to develop a clearer understanding of how different parts of the economy function, how businesses respond to changing conditions, and how they influence one another. In many ways, you are building a mental model of the market and how its different pieces fit together.

Businesses Enter the Era of Measured Growth

  • Global businesses remain ambitious, but uncertainty is causing many leaders to favor sustainable and achievable growth rather than aggressive, high-risk expansion.
  • 61% of surveyed leaders expect revenue growth of 5–20% over the next 12 months, while 54% describe their strategies as ambitious.
  • Business leaders are generally confident about their plans, with 83% believing they can achieve their growth ambitions despite economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
  • Team capability is identified as the leading internal driver of growth, emphasizing the importance of employee skills, human capital, and organizational capacity.
  • The findings suggest a shift toward disciplined strategic decision-making, with companies continuing to pursue international expansion while carefully managing risk and uncertainty.

Saffery. (2026, August 10). New global survey reveals businesses have entered the era of “measured growth.” https://www.saffery.com/insights/news/new-global-survey-reveals-businesses-have-entered-the-era-of-measured-growth/

Monday, August 10, 2026

Free Diving Fishing-Shiny Green Things Seem to Attract Them

 I went fishing again—or at least that's what I'm calling it. I was really swimming around, snorkeling, and free diving, looking to see what I could find. Each time I go back, I seem to learn something new.

Illustrative Only
This time, I found a little spot where the fish seemed to congregate. And honestly, I could see why. The rocks actually went farther out than I had realized, giving the fish plenty of hiding places. Then there were some weeds farther out, so they basically had a nice little fish neighborhood: rocks for security, weeds for food, and me showing up to ruin the whole thing.

I wasn't really even fishing for the most part. I was just exploring. If I happened to find something I could spear, like a whitefish, or catch with a lure, like a bass, that would have been fine. I found some fish hiding out there, although these particular ones were probably too small to catch. I just followed them around for a while, which I'm sure they appreciated.

Then, as I was coming back toward shore, two enormous shadows went right past me. I didn't have my  camera out, of course, because apparently that's the exact moment when you're supposed to see something interesting. These fish were big—probably three times the size of the ones I'd been watching. They were big enough that I really wanted to get some video, but naturally, they disappeared before I could do anything about it.

I did learn something interesting, though. I pulled out one of my little green lures, and I still hadn't put any bait on it. I just dropped the weighted green thing into the water, and the fish immediately came over to investigate.

They'd swim up, check it out, apparently realize, "Wait a minute... there's nothing here," and then swim away.

But every time I dropped that little green lure back down, they came right over again. So apparently I had their attention; I just hadn't gotten around to providing lunch yet.

I'm thinking that if I actually put some bait on that thing, they might have taken a pretty serious bite at it. So, I didn't catch anything this time, but I learned where the fish are hanging out, what they're interested in, and that apparently even fish will inspect something suspicious if you dangle it in front of them often enough.

That's fishing, I guess. Sometimes you catch fish. Sometimes you catch nothing. And sometimes you spend an afternoon snorkeling around having conversations with fish that refuse to commit.

Why fish are Attracted to Certain Colors

My free diving fish find was another golf ball. I just followed him around. 

Are You a Lifelong Learner?: A Systematic Review

 Lifelong learning is really important. There is a saying that once you stop changing and adapting, you begin to decline. As long as you are changing, adapting, and growing, you are continuing to develop. You may become weaker in some areas while becoming stronger in others, but lifelong learning helps you stay engaged, current, and open to new ideas.

(Illustrative Only)
Life Long Learners.
🙃
Learning can also contribute to a healthier and more fulfilling life. It keeps your mind active, encourages creativity, gives you opportunities to produce and accomplish new things, and can increase the enjoyment you get from the world around you.

If you have the opportunity to stay in school and further your education, that is great. But learning does not have to take place in a classroom. If formal education is not an option, continue reading books, learning new skills, exploring new ideas, trying new things, and challenging yourself. Lifelong learning is ultimately about continuing to grow and enjoy the process of living. Over the long run, that can make a meaningful difference in the quality of your life.

Lifelong Learning in the Educational Setting: A Systematic Literature Review

  • Lifelong learning extends beyond traditional schooling and includes formal, nonformal, and informal learning throughout a person’s life.
  • A systematic review of 55 studies from 2000–2022 found that lifelong learning skills, competencies, and different forms of learning were among the most prominent concepts in the research.
  • Lifelong learning is associated with self-directed learning, professional development, metacognition, self-efficacy, adaptability, and the development of new competencies.
  • The research identified three major areas of study: lifelong learning policies and frameworks, the development of lifelong learning abilities, and factors that influence people's ability and willingness to continue learning.
  • The authors conclude that lifelong learning research still needs stronger theoretical foundations and more empirical and mixed-method research, particularly research examining new learning environments, communities, technologies, and learning strategies.

Thwe, W. P., & Kálmán, A. (2023). Lifelong learning in the educational setting: A systematic literature review. Asia-Pacific Education Researcher, 32, 615–625. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40299-023-00738-w

Institutional Integrity, Social Development, and the Need for Corrective Systems-Alllegory of the Clan

 This learning allegory-Allegory of the Clan (modeled after Plato's Allegory of the Cave) explores how institutions can at times become corrupted and how that corruption can affect society when effective safeguards, oversight, and corrective mechanisms are absent. Even if this is in a minority of places and cases it still presents challenges to the whole. The purpose is philosophical in nature: to consider how systems function, how they fail, and how societies can strengthen them. What does it take to create a powerful and upward reaching democratic society (We weave ancient and modern problems.)

Economic development cannot be separated completely from social development. Economic systems depend upon the ways people interact with one another and upon the institutions that establish the rules for those interactions. Corporate laws, property laws, laws against theft and fraud, civil rights protections, and rules governing professional conduct all influence whether people feel secure enough to participate in society and the economy. When people believe that institutions are fair and predictable, they are generally more willing to cooperate, invest, participate, and take risks.

(Illustrative Only)

Jared reminds
people that decisions
must always be anchored
to the true north of 
society's values and needs. 
In a democracy, 
we elect our leaders,
and those entrusted
with our institutions
to be public servants. 
If they are not
then they need to be removed. 

History provides examples of what happens when institutional rules divide society into separate systems. Segregation, for example, created social and economic structures in which people were treated differently based on racial classifications. (There are new forms of discrimination that can rear their form.) Although these structures existed within the same broader political and economic system, they operated through different rules and opportunities. The resulting separation weakened social integration and limited the ability of the broader system to function efficiently and fairly.

A similar problem can occur without formal segregation when institutions become ideologically divided or when officials apply rules selectively. Consider two extreme propositions about law enforcement. One position might argue that police officers can essentially do nothing wrong and therefore should receive nearly unlimited protection from accountability. The opposite position might argue that police officers are inherently doing everything wrong. Both positions are problematic because they deny the reality of individual variation. In any large institution, some individuals will act improperly, while others will perform their responsibilities with considerable integrity. The appropriate response is therefore neither unlimited protection nor blanket condemnation, but systems capable of distinguishing between appropriate and inappropriate conduct.

(My personal opinion is that the vast majority are doing the right thing and we should support, help, encourage, and have our youth join their ranks. Honor their sacrafices to keep us safe. That doesn't mean there are not individuals and groups that commit human, civil rights, and other corrupted behaviors and they need checks and balances to protect the whole. These systems should seek to serve the broader society and reduce the influence of political ideology, foreign-domestic hate or other distorting influences.)

The same principle applies to the judiciary and other institutions of government. Imagine a hypothetical closed institutional system in which officials allow ideological or personal beliefs to influence investigations, enforcement decisions, or judicial outcomes. Suppose, within the allegory, that individuals are selectively investigated, followed, subjected to rumors or intimidation, or otherwise targeted because their beliefs, identity, religion, or values are considered unacceptable. Imagine further that misconduct is ignored, witnesses are retaliated against, insiders benefit from institutional relationships, and officials who possess authority are aware of these activities but choose not to intervene.

The problem in such a scenario is not simply the misconduct of individual actors. It is the failure of the institutional system to correct itself. They may have bragged about doing these things for years. 

A closed system can become particularly dangerous when the institutions surrounding it reinforce rather than challenge the behavior. If supervisors, oversight bodies, political organizations, professional networks, or other institutions share similar biases, corrective mechanisms can become ineffective. What might initially be the misconduct of a few individuals can therefore become embedded within an institutional culture.

The opposite is also possible. Institutions can develop cultures that place greater emphasis on individual rights, fairness, due process, transparency, and accountability. These values can create stronger corrective mechanisms and make it more difficult for individual actors to misuse public authority. Institutional design therefore matters because the surrounding environment influences whether misconduct is corrected or protected.

This does not require assuming that every person within an institution is corrupt or that every institution is fundamentally flawed. Or they are all perfect. In fact, such assumptions would create another form of ideological thinking. A healthier approach recognizes that institutions contain people with different motivations, values, capabilities, and levels of integrity. Some will make mistakes. Some will act improperly. Others will devote themselves sincerely to public service.

The objective of reform should therefore be to strengthen the people and structures that perform their responsibilities well while creating meaningful consequences for those who misuse public authority. Accountability is not an attack on institutions; it is one of the mechanisms through which institutions preserve their legitimacy. In one strain of logic, those who encourage higher performance are more patriotic and prosocial then those who block healthy adaptations or who fail to correct wrongdoing as a revolt against good moral conscious. 

From a pro-social and fairness-oriented perspective, the goal is not to eliminate disagreement or impose one worldview upon everyone else. The goal is to create institutions in which people with different beliefs can participate without fearing that public authority will be weaponized against them. Civil rights, human rights, due process, transparency, and equal application of the law provide important safeguards against institutional capture.

Ultimately, healthy institutions require continuous correction. No institution should be assumed to be incapable of error, and no group of people should be treated as incapable of wrongdoing. At the same time, neither should entire professions or communities be presumed to be corrupt. The more productive approach is to establish systems capable of identifying misconduct, protecting those who perform their duties properly, correcting institutional failures, and holding individuals accountable when they misuse public power.

Society benefits when good public servants are encouraged to participate, when younger generations are invited to enter public institutions and uphold their missions, and when institutional cultures reward competence, fairness, and service. The long-term objective is not simply to punish wrongdoing. It is to build institutions that are resilient enough to correct themselves before isolated misconduct becomes systemic corruption.

In this sense, institutional integrity is both a social and an economic asset. Trust allows people to cooperate. Fairness encourages participation. Predictable institutions encourage investment. Accountability protects legitimacy. And effective corrective mechanisms help ensure that public institutions remain servants of society rather than instruments through which particular individuals or groups impose their interests upon others. At least in theory but it would seem to hold true in history and in modern times. 

*The Allegory of the Clan is a philosophical thought experiment for learning purposes. There is no right or wrong answer nor does it propose a solution. 

Judicial Corruption, Legal Ethics, and Public Trust

  1. Judicial corruption undermines public trust because misconduct by judges, prosecutors, and attorneys can weaken perceptions of fairness, impartiality, and institutional legitimacy.
  2. The study identifies bribery, political interference, conflicts of interest, lack of transparency, and other forms of misconduct as major ethical concerns within legal systems.
  3. Legal education is identified as an important point for reform. The authors report that 78% of examined institutions lacked compulsory ethics programs, suggesting that future legal professionals may not receive sufficient preparation for real-world ethical challenges.
  4. Strong oversight and accountability mechanisms appear to be associated with greater public confidence in judicial institutions. The study contrasts countries with stronger ethics and oversight systems, such as Germany and the United Kingdom, with countries where perceived judicial corruption and public distrust are considerably higher.
  5. The authors argue that restoring public trust requires systemic reforms rather than relying solely on individual ethical behavior. Recommended approaches include stronger independent oversight, greater transparency, mandatory ethics education, and more effective mechanisms for investigating and disciplining misconduct.

Apaza, E. E. F., Huincho, M. C., Villanueva, J. J. P., Garcia, P. E. B., Machaca, V. R. M., Iparraguirre, D. F. del C., Valencia, S. M. H., & Diego, C. F. (2025). Judicial corruption and public trust: Assessing the effectiveness of legal ethics reforms in global legal systems. Journal of Posthumanism, 5(6), 3649–3662. https://doi.org/10.63332/joph.v5i6.2499

Sunday, August 9, 2026

Decision Making Ability of Leaders Within Corporate Culture, Authority, and Information

 We are always looking for great leaders of organizations and great leaders of society. We tend to identify, emulate, and even idealize leadership through our culture. History is often shaped and adjusted through the idealization of certain cultural values.  As a result, we sometimes emulate these cultural ideals on leaders without considering the broader context of the environment that could raise up or doom the success of a leader. In other words, we minimized the other factors to highlight the ideal while not seeing the broader contributions. That is where science begins to create more objectivity.

(This is why in my theoretical speculation I use I, ME and WE as economic lenses. I being the power of an individual leader, ME is their/our socialized constraints/context (ability to understand-cultural programming), and WE is the power of the collective many that must trust leadership as an emulation of collective benefit.)

Consider an organization where there is little balance between the CEO and other executives. If the CEO does not have meaningful opportunities to vet decisions, gather input, and consider alternative perspectives, the quality of organizational decision-making can suffer. Many of us have worked in organizations where a strong personality enters the organization and essentially declares, “This is how it is going to be done.” Investors and employees may assume that a leader will gather information, consider different perspectives, and develop a thoughtful plan, but there is no guarantee that this process actually occurs.

The quality and functionality of leadership are therefore dependent, to some degree, on the environment in which leadership operates. An environment that encourages open discussion allows the leader to hear different perspectives before ultimately making a decision or providing a sense of direction. A direction others find of value. Leadership can take many forms, but the leader generally provides direction or synthesizes the information necessary to establish that direction.

Decision-making capacity is influenced by factors such as the availability of information, organizational structure, authority, and corporate culture. Managers and employees throughout an organization must constantly evaluate these factors when determining how decisions should be made. An individual may recognize a problem and know what needs to be done, but the decision may fall outside their authority. They may therefore need to consult someone else who has different responsibilities, perspectives, or ideas. These organizational relationships create additional influences on the decision-making process.

This is why the environment fostered by leadership may be as important as the leader's direction itself. Cultures exist to give cues of collective direction. Organizational members make decisions based not only on formal policies and instructions but also on the environmental cues they receive from leadership and from one another. A healthy environment encourages people to think critically, discuss problems, consider alternatives, take personal responsibility, and make appropriate decisions.

The opposite can occur in organizations dominated by a highly controlling personality. A highly dominant leader may unintentionally create a rigid and immobile structure in which employees become reluctant to make decisions because they fear overstepping their authority or conflicting with the leader's preferences (or at least the person above them). When the relationships among different decision-making levels become unclear or dysfunctional, the entire organization can begin to slow down (Think transactions).

(Highly dominant leaders may be good during short-term organizational crisis but becomes a detriment after crisis is over. The leader has to make the change or they will become out of sync with the greater environment.)

Conversely, when an organizational leader understands the environment they are creating and deliberately fosters openness, discussion, accountability, and appropriate autonomy, decision-making can occur more effectively throughout the organization. Leadership, in this sense, is not simply about making decisions; it is also about creating the conditions in which other people can make good decisions. A 'right fit' leader where ability, social context, and resources align to meet challenge. 

These are some important considerations when thinking about leadership and organizational effectiveness. The study below is particularly interesting because it examines how factors such as information, leadership authority, and corporate culture influence managerial decision-making. It is in line with the discussion on leadership and environment.

Decision-Making Ability of Professional Managers Based on Neurocognitive Factors

  • The study examines the factors that influence the decision-making ability of professional managers using a neurocognitive model and questionnaire-based empirical analysis.
  • Decision-making information, leadership authority, and corporate culture were found to significantly influence managerial decision-making ability.
  • Leadership authority emerged as the most influential factor affecting managers' decision-making ability.
  • Governance structures and decision-making systems also matter, but their effects appear to operate indirectly through other organizational factors.
  • The findings suggest that effective managerial decision-making depends not only on individual cognitive abilities but also on organizational context, information availability, leadership structures, and corporate culture.

Liang, G., & Li, X. (2019). Decision-making ability of professional managers based on neurocognitive. Technology and Science, 10, 129–134. https://doi.org/10.1515/tnsci-2019-0022